Model Catalog
Model cards are the comparison surface for the tournament. Use them to choose which predictions to compare, then inspect projected value, observed paper value, and capital sensitivity. Detailed model mechanics are documented on the Methodology page.
Compare Models
Prediction Evidence
Projection sourceEach model is estimated from rolling historical start points and walk-forward windows, then adjusted for fees, spread, slippage, drawdown, churn, and cash drag.
Actual sourceActuals begin on
Investment assumptionLarger initial capital is modeled as more efficient because minimum trade sizes and fixed operational friction matter less, but this is an assumption to test, not a guarantee.
Safety boundaryModel cards are public review artifacts only. They cannot execute Coinbase orders.